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$BSB The whales are currently holding a ton of profitable long positions, and the next act in this play boils down to two words: distribution. Here's the script:
Act 1: False breakout, FOMO frenzy (current phase)
Price is consolidating around 0.89, with smart money and whales enjoying hefty profits, but net buying volume is starting to dwindle. The market makers will leverage the attractive "91% profit ratio" to create a buzz, suddenly pulling off a bullish candle that breaks above the 0.93 resistance. At this point, the whole network will cheer for an "eternal bull," and the retail traders, fearing they might miss out, will rush to chase the price, conveniently taking the first batch of coins from the whales at these elevated levels.
Act 2: High-level consolidation, slowly boiling the frog
As it pushes up near 0.95, they start to set the trap. The market makers won't crash it all at once; instead, they'll let the price oscillate between 0.85 and 0.95. On one side, they'll prop the price up with large orders for a sense of security, while on the other, they'll keep unloading with smaller orders. You'll notice an increase in open interest, yet the price stubbornly refuses to rise—this is classic "volume stagnation," where the market makers are unloading to those who are buying at the highs.
Act 3: Guillotine drop, double kill for longs and shorts
Once they've offloaded enough, they will use some bearish news (even if it's fabricated) to crash through the 0.85 support level in an instant. At this point, leveraged long positions will get liquidated in a cascade, leading to a bloodbath. As the price plummets below 0.7, and retail investors, desperate, cut their losses, the market makers will slowly scoop up the bloodied coins, setting the stage for the next wave.
Summary: The current rise isn't about handing out free money; it's about setting the stage for a trap. Enjoy the spectacle, but don't be the last one holding the bag.
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